Interest Rate Decision

Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision - September 5, 2012

No surprises from the Bank of Canada this morning. The Bank left its overnight rate at 1 per cent, where it has been since September 2010.

The statement released this morning in support of the interest rate decision noted that while global economic headwinds continue to restrain economic activity, the Canadian economy is growing roughly in line with its production potential.  On inflation, the Bank sees core inflation returning to its 2 per cent target over the next 12 months.

The Bank once again made clear that a gradual withdrawal of monetary stimulus may be become appropriate as excess supply in the Canadian economy is absorbed, but that such withdrawals would need to be weighed against domestic and global economic developments.

Given ongoing uncertainty in the Euro-zone and the unresolved "fiscal cliff" in the United States, that caveat means that the Bank will likely hold off on raising rates until early 2013. We expect monetary tightening to proceed very cautiously, with perhaps a 25 to 50 basis points increase over 2013, bringing the Bank’s overnight rate to between 1.25 and 1.5 per cent by the end of next year.


For more information, please contact: 

Cameron Muir
Chief Economist
Direct: 604.742.2780
Mobile: 778.229.1884
Email: cmuir@bcrea.bc.ca


BCREA represents 11 member real estate boards and their approximately 18,000 REALTORS® on all provincial issues, providing an extensive communications network, standard forms, economic research and analysis, government relations, applied practice courses and continuing professional education (cpe).

Real estate boards, real estate associations and REALTORS® may reprint this content, provided that credit is given to BCREA by including the following statement: “Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.” BCREA makes no guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.